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openinterp-39-grokking-retrospective

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dpo
probing
mechanistic-interpretability
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nb39 — Grokking retrospective on nb37 DPO checkpoints

Tests whether DPO on Qwen3.6-27B (nb37) shows phase-transition learning detectable via probes.

Hypothesis

Probe AUROC for preference-shifted output undergoes phase transition during DPO training, before greedy decoding diverges.

Result

See FINAL_VERDICT.json. Grokking signal: {verdict.get("grokking_signal", "undetermined")}. Phase transition ratio: {verdict.get("phase_transition_ratio", "N/A"):.2f}.

Methodology lineage

  • Nanda et al. 2023 — Progress measures for grokking via MI
  • Information-Theoretic Progress Measures (Aug 2024)
  • Lei & Xu 2025 — construct-then-compress
  • Anthropic Persona Vectors / Goodfire RLFR — probe-based intervention
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